Hong Kong Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Hong Kong's economy slowed yet again in Q214, with real GDP growth coming in at a disappointing 1.8% year-on-year (y-o-y). Owing to dual headwinds from China as well as the teetering domestic property market, we have downgraded our 2014 and 2015 real GDP forecasts to 2.5% and 3.3% respectively, from 3.0% and 3.7% previously. We continue to expect the nascent correction in Hong Kong property prices to continue over the course of 2015.

However, the correction is likely to be relatively mild, with price declines in the range of 10-15% within the realm of possibility. Some upside risk to this forecast will remain in play as long as the city-state's supply side woes, although the rising likelihood of monetary tightening in the US in 2015 is clouding the medium-term outlook. While Hong Kong's fiscal position remains on a sound footing, the potential for a normalisation of interest rates in the US could pose a challenge to the government.

On the one hand, government revenues will be hit by the subsequent fall in property prices in the city-state. As cooling measures are withdrawn, this will also hit revenues. However, we expect such measures to remain in place for the time being, and see Hong Kong running a small fiscal surplus in 2015. Hong Kong's democratic reform process, the cornerstone of which is meant to entail the introduction of universal suffrage by 2017, has become an increasingly contentious issue over recent months.

We do not expect a satisfactory solution to the process in the near-term, as Beijing's model for 2017 elections does not fit with that of Hong Kong's pro-democracy contingent. Following major demonstrations in October 2014, further flare-ups are highly possible.

The Hong Kong Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Hong Kong and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Hong Kong's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Publisher.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Hong Kong's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise Hong Kong's country risks against regional peers using PUBLISHER's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Hong Kong, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Hong Kong economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2014-2018?

PUBLISHER provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Hong Kong through end-2018 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Hong Kong Business Forecast Report features PUBLISHER's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2014 through to end-2018, set against government views and PUBLISHER's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• PUBLISHER's comprehensive Risk Rankings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2018 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon PUBLISHER's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Hong Kong and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of PUBLISHER's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Hong Kong, sourced and fully maintained by PUBLISHER from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from PUBLISHER's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Hong Kong over the next 5-years?

PUBLISHER's Hong Kong country Risk Rankings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Hong Kong Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Hong Kong.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - PUBLISHER's Risk Rankings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ankings, rankings and trends for Hong Kong's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making PUBLISHER assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Hong Kong's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through PUBLISHER's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

• Business Environment Risk Rankings with SWOT Analysis - Business Environment Risk Rankings for Hong Kong, benchmarked against rankings for regional neighbours.
• Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of Hong Kong's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using PUBLISHER's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using PUBLISHER's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Rankings.

Key Sector Outlook

Which industry sectors in Hong Kong will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

PUBLISHER's identifies investment opportunities in Hong Kong's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and telecommunications & IT.

Key Areas Covered:

• Market Overview - Size and value of each industry with developments over 2009-2013, covering major industry key performance indicators (KPIs) that have impacted company performance.
• 5-year Industry Forecasts - Forecasts for each year over 2014-2018, using PUBLISHER's proprietary industry modeling technique, which incorporates all key domestic and international indicators - including economic growth, interest rates, exchange rate outlook, commodity prices and demographic trends - to provide fully integrated forecasts across, and within, each industry.
• Demand- and Supply-Side Data/Forecasts - PUBLISHER's industry data covers both the output of each industry and the domestic demand, offering clear analysis of anticipated import/export trends, as well as capacity growth within each industry.

Key Benefits

• Target strategic opportunities in high growth industries, which are benefiting from global mega trends, and thus offer strong investment and growth opportunities.
• Compare the growth path of different industries to identify which are best placed to benefit from domestic and international economic prospects, and which have historically suffered from volatile growth trends - a key indicator of future risks.

Spanning over 45 pages “Hong Kong Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Balance Of Payments, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk, Key Sectors, Global Assumptions.

Know more about this report at – http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-monitor-international/hong-kong-business-forecast-report-q1-2015

France Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

While the rest of the eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the French economy continues to lag behind the region. While the improving regional economic outlook may provide some limited upside potential, this might not be sufficient to drive a recovery in French manufacturing unless the country first addresses its outstanding competitiveness issues. While we are likely to see a gradual increase in positive rhetoric towards structural reforms, Hollande is unlikely to become an ambitious reformer of the French model.

While we expect some reformers will take baby steps in the right direction, the ability of Hollande to implement sweeping reforms will be restrained by divisions within his own party and core support base, and resistance from the proliferation of special interest groups which will make unilateral reform a troublesome and compromised process. We expect pressures on the government to engage in more concerted fiscal consolidation to mount over the coming quarters, particularly as lower growth begins to translate into lower government revenues.

While France has thus far not fallen prey to the bond vigilantes like the peripheral countries of the eurozone, the country nonetheless has one of the largest public sector debt piles in Europe and remains susceptible to contagion effects.

Major Forecast Changes

We have downgraded our government budget forecasts for France and now expect the fiscal deficit to arrive at 4.5% of GDP in 2014 and 4.3% in 2015, from 4.0% and 3.7% previously.

The France Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in France and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of France's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise France's country risks against regional peers using Publisher's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in France, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

Economic Outlook:

How will the France economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2014-2018?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for France through end-2018 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The France Business Forecast Report features Publisher's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2014 through to end-2018, set against government views and Publisher's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• Publisher's comprehensive Risk Rankings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2018 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon Publisher's 100% independent forecast scenarios for France and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of Publisher's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on France, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from Publisher's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in France over the next 5-years?

Publisher's France country Risk Rankings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the France Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing France.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - Publisher's Risk Rankings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ankings, rankings and trends for France's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark France's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

• Business Environment Risk Rankings with SWOT Analysis - Business Environment Risk Rankings for France, benchmarked against rankings for regional neighbours.
• Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of France's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Rankings.

Key Sector Outlook

Which industry sectors in France will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

Publisher's identifies investment opportunities in France's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and telecommunications & IT.

Key Areas Covered:

• Market Overview - Size and value of each industry with developments over 2009-2013, covering major industry key performance indicators (KPIs) that have impacted company performance.
• 5-year Industry Forecasts - Forecasts for each year over 2014-2018, using Publisher's proprietary industry modeling technique, which incorporates all key domestic and international indicators - including economic growth, interest rates, exchange rate outlook, commodity prices and demographic trends - to provide fully integrated forecasts across, and within, each industry.
• Demand- and Supply-Side Data/Forecasts - Publisher's industry data covers both the output of each industry and the domestic demand, offering clear analysis of anticipated import/export trends, as well as capacity growth within each industry.

Key Benefits

• Target strategic opportunities in high growth industries, which are benefiting from global mega trends, and thus offer strong investment and growth opportunities.
• Compare the growth path of different industries to identify which are best placed to benefit from domestic and international economic prospects, and which have historically suffered from volatile growth trends - a key indicator of future risks.

Spanning over 45 pages “France Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Balance Of Payments, Fiscal Policy, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk, Key Sectors, Global Assumptions.

Know more about this report at – http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-monitor-international/france-business-forecast-report-q1-2015

Find all Business and Government Reports at: http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-government

Finland Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Over the short term, we believe Finland’s fiscal situation remains one of the most robust in Europe and do not expect it to suffer from a ratings downgrade in the near future, expecting it to remain one of just four remaining countries in the eurozone to be awarded AAA status from all three major ratings agencies. However, over the longer-term, looming structural challenges pose a threat to public debt dynamics and may impede fiscal flexibility.

Several key sectors, including forestry and papermaking, shipbuilding and telecommunications remain in terminal decline, while high labour costs are acting as a deterrent for investment and importers of Finnish goods, despite strong structural competitiveness. This has cast doubt over the government’s ability to sustainably increase aggregate demand through fiscal stimulus.

Major Forecast Changes

We have downgraded our forecast for Finnish real GDP growth in 2014 and 2015 to -0.1% and 0.9%, from 0.4% and 1.3% respectively, due to weaker external demand as a direct result of the Russian embargo and also due our downgrades to eurozone growth.

The Finland Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Finland and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Finland's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise Finland's country risks against regional peers using Publisher's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Finland, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
• The Finland Business Forecast Report by Publisher (Publisher) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Finland economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2014-2018?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Finland through end-2018 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Finland Business Forecast Report features Publisher's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2014 through to end-2018, set against government views and Publisher's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• Publisher's comprehensive Risk Rankings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2018 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon Publisher's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Finland and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of Publisher's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Finland, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from Publisher's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Finland over the next 5-years?

Publisher's Finland country Risk Rankings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Finland Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Finland.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - Publisher's Risk Rankings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ankings, rankings and trends for Finland's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Finland's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

• Business Environment Risk Rankings with SWOT Analysis - Business Environment Risk Rankings for Finland, benchmarked against rankings for regional neighbours.
• Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of Finland's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Rankings.

Key Sector Outlook

Which industry sectors in Finland will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

Publisher's identifies investment opportunities in Finland's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and telecommunications & IT.

Key Areas Covered:

• Market Overview - Size and value of each industry with developments over 2009-2013, covering major industry key performance indicators (KPIs) that have impacted company performance.
• 5-year Industry Forecasts - Forecasts for each year over 2014-2018, using Publisher's proprietary industry modeling technique, which incorporates all key domestic and international indicators - including economic growth, interest rates, exchange rate outlook, commodity prices and demographic trends - to provide fully integrated forecasts across, and within, each industry.
• Demand- and Supply-Side Data/Forecasts - Publisher's industry data covers both the output of each industry and the domestic demand, offering clear analysis of anticipated import/export trends, as well as capacity growth within each industry.

Key Benefits

• Target strategic opportunities in high growth industries, which are benefiting from global mega trends, and thus offer strong investment and growth opportunities.
• Compare the growth path of different industries to identify which are best placed to benefit from domestic and international economic prospects, and which have historically suffered from volatile growth trends - a key indicator of future risks.

Spanning over 23 pages “Finland Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Regional Monetary Policy, Key Sectors, Global Assumptions.

Know more about this report at – http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-monitor-international/finland-business-forecast-report-q1-2015

Estonia Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Although Estonia's current account flipped into surplus in Q214, the positive balance will not be experienced for long with EU economic sanctions on Russia suppressing exports and the accelerating economic recovery boosting import levels. The deficit will remain manageable in 2015 and 2016, with the services account set to remain a significant positive contributor. The Estonian Reform Party is on course to retain first place in the March 2015 general election, boosted by its competent economic management and the hard line taken with Russia during the Ukraine crisis.

The identity of the junior coalition partner is more uncertain with three parties competing for second spot, and a fractious election campaign could result in more aggressive political discourse following the vote. The economy has turned the corner and will post relatively strong real GDP growth over the next two years. Rising domestic demand will more than offset lower export growth, as relations with Russia remain strained.

Estonia's economic recovery help the country's budget deficit remains within EU Maastricht criteria limits. Rising revenue will cancel out the impact of a pre-election tax cut and an escalation in defence spending, amidst potential Russian aggression on Estonia's eastern border.

The Estonia Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Estonia and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Estonia's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Publisher (Publisher).

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Estonia's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise Estonia's country risks against regional peers using Publisher's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Estonia, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Estonia Business Forecast Report by Publisher includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Estonia economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2014-2018?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Estonia through end-2018 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Estonia Business Forecast Report features Publisher's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2014 through to end-2018, set against government views and Publisher's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• Publisher's comprehensive Risk Rankings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2018 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon Publisher's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Estonia and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of Publisher's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Estonia, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from Publisher's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Estonia over the next 5-years?

Publisher's Estonia country Risk Rankings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Estonia Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Estonia.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - Publisher's Risk Rankings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ankings, rankings and trends for Estonia's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Estonia's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

• Business Environment Risk Rankings with SWOT Analysis - Business Environment Risk Rankings for Estonia, benchmarked against rankings for regional neighbours.
• Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of Estonia's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Rankings.

Key Sector Outlook

Which industry sectors in Estonia will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

Publisher's identifies investment opportunities in Estonia's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and telecommunications & IT.

Key Areas Covered:

• Market Overview - Size and value of each industry with developments over 2009-2013, covering major industry key performance indicators (KPIs) that have impacted company performance.
• 5-year Industry Forecasts - Forecasts for each year over 2014-2018, using Publisher's proprietary industry modeling technique, which incorporates all key domestic and international indicators - including economic growth, interest rates, exchange rate outlook, commodity prices and demographic trends - to provide fully integrated forecasts across, and within, each industry.
• Demand- and Supply-Side Data/Forecasts - Publisher's industry data covers both the output of each industry and the domestic demand, offering clear analysis of anticipated import/export trends, as well as capacity growth within each industry.

Key Benefits

• Target strategic opportunities in high growth industries, which are benefiting from global mega trends, and thus offer strong investment and growth opportunities.
• Compare the growth path of different industries to identify which are best placed to benefit from domestic and international economic prospects, and which have historically suffered from volatile growth trends - a key indicator of future risks.

Spanning over 45 pages “Estonia Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Fiscal Policy, Balance Of Payments, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk, Key Sectors, Global Assumptions.

Know more about this report at – http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-monitor-international/estonia-business-forecast-report-q1-2015

Cyprus Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Cyprus is past the worst of its brutal recession. Nonetheless, we do not forecast annual economic expansion until 2016, as credit growth remains impaired, public austerity deepens, and the internal devaluation process keeps a lid on nominal and real wages. Although the Cypriot government's fiscal consolidation plan has begun to bear fruit, with a reduced deficit, a budget surplus is unlikely to be posted anytime soon.

With slow economic growth ahead and chronic budget deficits, Cyprus's debt sustainability may again be called into question at some point in the next few years. Talks to reunify the island have regained some momentum in the past year. While both sides of the dispute still appear to be far apart on the terms of any potential settlement, we believe that negotiations on the 40-year-old 'Cyprus problem' are reaching a crucial phase.

Major Forecast Changes

We have raised our 2015 real GDP growth forecast to 0.0% from -0.2%.

The Cyprus Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Cyprus and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Cyprus's economic and industry growth through end-2017.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise Cyprus's country risks against regional peers using Publisher's country comparative Risk Ratings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Cyprus, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Cypriot economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2013-2017?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Cyprus through end-2017 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Cyprus Business Forecast Report features Publisher's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2013 through to end-2017, set against government views and Publisher's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• Publisher's comprehensive Risk Ratings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2017 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon Publisher's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Cyprus and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of Publisher's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Cyprus, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from Publisher's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Cyprus over the next 5-years?

Publisher's Cyprus country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Cypriot Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Cyprus.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - Publisher's Risk Ratings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Cyprus's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Cyprus's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

• Business Environment Risk Ratings with SWOT Analysis - Business environment Risk Ratings for Cyprus, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.
• Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of Cyprus's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Ratings.

Spanning over 37 pages “Cyprus Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Balance Of Payments, Fiscal Policy, Regional Monetary Policy, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk, Global Assumptions.

Know more about this report at – http://www.marketresearchreports.com/business-monitor-international/cyprus-business-forecast-report-q1-2015

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