Total
vehicle sales declined 0.9% in 2013, chiefly on the back of weakness in the
country's passenger car market. Sales in this segment spiked in Q312 on the
back of the introduction of government tax incentives, creating high base
effects for 2013 and dragging down the year-to-date growth rate. Furthermore,
the broader slowdown in consumer spending in Brazil impacted the passenger car
segment, and we did not see a pick-up in the growth rate in Q4, despite lower
base effects. The forecasts a 1.7% drop in vehicle sales in 2014, as we expect
the passenger car and commercial vehicle segments to remain weak over the
coming year. Publisher has become increasingly bearish on the country's
domestic sales and export outlook, and believe this will weigh on output in 2014.
Indeed, we forecast a 3.3% drop in total vehicle output over the coming year, a
reversal from the 9.9% output growth seen in 2013. The majority of production
in Brazil is for the domestic market. We expect exports to play an increasingly
important role in output growth, but volumes are likely to remain relatively
small, so they will not be the primary driver of production.
Spanning
Over 64 pages, “Brazil
Autos Report Q3 2014” report covering the
SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecast, Macroeconomic Forecasts, Company Profile,
Methodology.
Know more about this report at: http://mrr.cm/Zpu
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