Friday, 18 March 2016

Canada, Hong Kong and South Korea Autos Report Q2 2016; New Report Launched

Canada, Hong Kong and South Korea Autos Report Q2 2016

Light vehicle sales growth will be limited to 0.5% in 2016 as the slowdown in the hydrocarbon industry spills over to vehicle demand in some of the most oil heavy provinces. Production will be given a boost by the bigger than expected investment by FCA.

Key Views
  • Light vehicle sales will grow just 0.5% in 2016 as the effects of low oil prices start to feed through.
  • The electric vehicle market will be given a boost by increased incentives in Ontario.
  • Higher than expected investment and total new jobs created by FCA will have positive knock-on effect for the production sector.


Growth in the autos market is expected to slow as the city-state faces significant challenges to economic growth over the next two years, including a property price correction and a slowing Chinese economy.

Latest Developments
  • The downbeat economic growth outlook will dampen vehicle sales growth over the next two years.
  • The cooling property market will have negative wealth effects on consumers.
  • The muted construction sector will weigh on commercial vehicle sales growth.


Headwinds, in both the domestic and global economy, will continue to drag on total vehicle sales in 2016 with passenger vehicles and commercial vehicles forecast to grow 1.5% and 2.4% respectively. This in turn will constrain total vehicle sales which will grow 1.6% in 2016 and at an annual average of 2.5% to 2020.

Key Views
  • Low interest rates will make access to vehicle finance cheaper and will support total vehicle sales.
  • Imported foreign vehicles will remain cheap due to the strength of the South Korean won.
  • The won relative to the Japanese yen will increase the price of South Korean vehicles in its export markets.
  • Slowdown in China will drag on exports and total vehicle sales.


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